Popular Vote Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

46%

Other

$139k Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

39%

National 0-5%

$20k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

69%

VAT federal decree

$8k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
D
Denmark Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Social Democrats 10–15%

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Tisza 9%+

$3.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

GOP by <1.5%

$14.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
106
Ended
W
Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Republicans win both

$83.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
780
Ended
W
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

Yes

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
W
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

No

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
P
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

GOP by 1-2%

$124.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
408
Ended
P
Popular Vote Winner 2024

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Donald Trump

$628.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4,553
Ended
W
Which party will win the popular vote in the next Canadian election?

Liberal Party

$5.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
80
Ended
R
RFK Jr. popular vote share?

<1%

$6.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
W
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?

No

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
144
Ended
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

36-40%

$154k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

50-54%

$621k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Tisza

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
C
Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Liberals by 0-3%

$5.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended