Funding Predictions & Odds· 255 markets

C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$42 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$278k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

60%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

75%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$698 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$685 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

65%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$160 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

13%

Yes

$648 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

5%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

68%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Senate pass funding bill by...?

September 30

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
A
Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

June 30

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 9

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended