Artificial Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times

$20k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

36%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$528k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

85%

Africa

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

93%

Money

$678 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$890 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$494 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

75%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$8k Vol.
$39 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$263k Vol.
$27k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
$281 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$429 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$948 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

74%

Anthropic

$80k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

9%

Yes

$3.0m Vol.
$20k Liq.
96
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

42%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month