Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

33%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$452 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

34%

Steve Witkoff

$750k Vol.
$320k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times

$4k Vol.
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What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

55%

Border

$6k Vol.
$373 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$233k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 20

$419k Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$326k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

27%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$998 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$506k Liq.
🔥$232k today
573
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

4%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
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N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 6 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%

Yes

$99k Vol.
$39k Liq.
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U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$24k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.1m Vol.
$662k Liq.
🔥$197k today
Ends in 11 days
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

38%

Yes

$424 Vol.
$176 Liq.
Ends in 11 days