AI Regulation Predictions & Odds· 228 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in 11 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$509k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$335k Vol.
$654k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$976k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$286k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

90%

OpenAI

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

85%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$127k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

71%

Alibaba

$98k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$114k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

57%

OpenAI

$75k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months