Openai Predictions & Odds· 263 markets

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

46%

December 31, 2026

$402k Vol.
$6k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

69%

1.5T+

$333k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$101k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$263k Vol.
$22k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$105k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$41k Vol.
$723k Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$311k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$222k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$42k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

76%

September 24

$6k Vol.
$956 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$676 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

50%

November 30

$17k Vol.
$500 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

25%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k Vol.
$10k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$81k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

15%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$561 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

96%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year