Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

12%

Yes

$93k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1282.8m Vol.
$75.6m Liq.
🔥$650k today
823
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.3m Liq.
🔥$99k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$645k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$84k Vol.
$386k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$775k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
#
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

50%

Person 3

$176k Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

28%

Susan Rice

$433k Vol.
$645k Liq.
13
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
D
Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$98k Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
C
California Governor Election: Turnout

California Governor Election: Turnout

39%

13M-13.5M

$4k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

94%

Xavier Becerra

$41.2m Vol.
$6.5m Liq.
87
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

95%

Fiona Ma

$31k Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

67%

Steve Hilton

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

53%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner

70%

Aaron Ford (D)

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

49%

Yes

$754 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$839 Liq.
Ends in 6 months