US Government Predictions & Odds· 887 markets

U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$36k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

36%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$755 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.8m Vol.
$382k Liq.
🔥$615k today
598
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$28k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

6%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

51%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$426 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

100%

March 31, 2027

$12.5m Vol.
$433k Liq.
🔥$760k today
Ends in 9 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

5%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$527 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$280 Liq.
Ends in 3 months