US Government Predictions & Odds· 891 markets

U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$109k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

52%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$897 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

34%

December 31, 2027

$3k Vol.
$945 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

70%

March 31

$32.4m Vol.
$529k Liq.
🔥$632k today
642
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$34k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

38%

No Meeting by December 31

$35k Vol.
$185k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

45%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$474 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

4%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

61%

December 31, 2026

$70k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 5 days