Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%

Yes

$197k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$778k Liq.
🔥$55k today
1,090
Ends in 9 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$124k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

lol · Sports

Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

1%

Yes

$172 Vol.
$674 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
K
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

3%

Yes

$273 Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$637k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

8%

Yes

$296k Vol.
$16k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$265k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$121k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

8%

Yes

$282k Vol.
$53k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

Yes

$548k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
X
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

91%

December 31

$48k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.7m Vol.
$520k Liq.
🔥$145k today
709
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$27k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
M
Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

6%

Yes

$253k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months