Safety Predictions & Odds· 242 markets

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$111 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the announcers say during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?

93%

Safety

$6k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the announcers say during the Colts vs Chiefs game?

92%

Safety

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

17%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

39%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

52%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$547 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Big Game: Safety?

Super Bowl LX · NFL Playoffs

Big Game: Safety?

No

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended