Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 457 markets

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$84 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$169 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$520k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$261 Vol.
$360 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$60 Vol.
$256 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$935k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$95 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

76%

September 24

$6k Vol.
$956 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$383 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

August 31

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Outage on...?

ChatGPT Outage on...?

August 7

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended