Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 444 markets

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$157 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$528k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$408 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$190 Vol.
$634 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1560

$219k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$984k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

84%

September 24

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

79%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$558 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

August 31

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Outage on...?

ChatGPT Outage on...?

August 7

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

<3

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended