Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

72%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$178 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$413k Vol.
$209k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$114k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$772 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

62%

Democratic Party

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

Below 190

$303k Vol.
$197k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

44%

Iowa

$664 Vol.
$975 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

125-130m

$30k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
W
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended