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Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

AllPoliticsDeprec USA Election2024 ElectionsTrumpElectionsRon DesantisUnited StatesGavin NewsomElectionAdam SchiffSenatesCaliforniaPrimary ElectionLaphonza ButlerBarbara Lee2024 Ca Senate PrimaryKatie PorterElection 2024ReferendumVirginiaIcelandCongressSuper Tuesday2024 Senate PrimarySteve GarveyIlhan OmarUS ElectionAocGlobal ElectionsSwing StatesUK ElectionEnglandBritainAyanna PressleyJamaal BowmanRashida TlaibKamalaHouse RacesFloridaMarginMargin Of VictoryAPDeclareElection NightAssocaited PressConggressMidtermsTexas RedistrictingElection Rigging Response Act)Proposition 50Nov 4 ElectionsPropProp 50RedistrictingFLGerrymanderDistrict
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·Midterms

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
W
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·gavin newsom

By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

20-30%

$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Politics·gavin newsom

California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Politics·gavin newsom

California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Yes

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

Politics

Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

No

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
C
California Prop 50 winning margin?

Elections·referendum

California Prop 50 winning margin?

28–29%

$536k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Politics·Midterms

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

Politics·UK Election

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
H
How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

Politics·All

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

2

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
W
Who will win each swing district?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Who will win each swing district?

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$507k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
E
Election called by...?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
C
California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Politics·All

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Adam Schiff

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

No

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
I
Iceland Legislative Election

Politics·Global Elections

Iceland Legislative Election

Social Democrats (S)

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended
W
Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

All

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

Vince Fong

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
#
# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

Politics·conggress

# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

220

$45.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
401
Ended
W
Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

Elections·Global Elections

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
#
# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

Politics·Global Elections

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

400-424

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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