Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

71%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$30 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

35%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$413k Vol.
$207k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$68k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$23k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$164k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

95%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$881 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

84%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

51%

Iowa

$669 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

Below 190

$307k Vol.
$221k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

61%

Democratic Party

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

43%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

115-120m

$30k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$169k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

95%

Lateefah Simon

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

14%

Ohio

$20k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month