Gerrymander Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$175 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

51%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$21 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

41%

Iowa

$214 Vol.
$941 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

46%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$413k Vol.
$211k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$468 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$763 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
E
Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Who will win each swing district?

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$507k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
S
South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?

DPK

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended