US Elections Predictions & Odds· 216 markets

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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

64%

Democratic

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94
Ends in about 2 years
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Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

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1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

28%

Yes

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1
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P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

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🔥$137k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

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W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

7%

Yes

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W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%

Yes

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20
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Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

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2
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W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

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2
Ends in 4 months
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

48%

2

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2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

125-130m

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

20%

6

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

66%

48

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

45%

6

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

37%

20

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

22%

12

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

36%

9

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H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

31%

8

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2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

46%

Other

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How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

72%

3

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