Public Release Predictions & Odds· 136 markets

S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$99k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

25%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$279 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

8%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$738 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

94%

November 30

$112k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

6%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$648 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$259 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$751 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$42k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$43k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

16%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

57%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

76%

September 30

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

50%

November 30

$17k Vol.
$500 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

23%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months