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Public Release Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

AllPoliticsVideo GamesCryptoEsportsMusicFinanceTrumpAirdropsNATORegulationElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIGrokAnthropicCultureLlmTechGeminiCourtsGeopoliticsGamesDenmarkValveGreenlandChatgptMetaRecurringWorldBig TechGTA VIMegaETHPre MarketRobloxClaudeDario AmodeiPrivatesEpic GamesMark ZuckerbergLlamaOpenAI IPOAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceAstraGPT SolGPT TerraGPT LunaZ.AIGLMWatermelonAI AchievementsAI Safety
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

Culture·Games

Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

29%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$340 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

7%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$337 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
GTA VI released by...?

Culture·GTA VI

GTA VI released by...?

94%

November 30

$112k Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
D4vd released from custody in 2026?

Culture·Courts

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

8%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$649 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$427 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$46k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Tech·AI

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$43k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

17%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

57%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

World·NATO

Greenland deal text released by...?

77%

September 30

$20k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

53%

November 30

$17k Vol.
$835 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

21%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months

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