AI Benchmarks Predictions & Odds· 225 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 11 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$508k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$334k Vol.
$449k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$974k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$285k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

56%

Anthropic

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

71%

Alibaba

$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

71%

Z.ai

$126k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$113k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

55%

OpenAI

$75k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

47%

Hodge Conjecture

$23k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months