Public Release Predictions & Odds· 411 markets

S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

31%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$609 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$46k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$43k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

17%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

60%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

53%

November 30

$17k Vol.
$857 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

87%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

86%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

87%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

88%

No release by September 30

$109k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

52%

Anduril

$9k Vol.
$419 Liq.
Ends in 4 months