Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$109k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

50%

$ANTH

$110k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

79%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

7%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

44%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

14%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$275 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

48%

November 2026

$252k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

83%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

58%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$944k Vol.
$222k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

38%

180-199

$6k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$326 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

37%

180-199

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days