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Public Opinion Predictions & Odds· 227 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpElectionsMiddle EastIsraelRegulationSam AltmanChinaToken LaunchCaliforniaAIReferendumOpenAIAnthropicPublic HealthIPOsHealth CrisisChinese Pneumonia OutbreakWhoDiseasesEmergencyBoxingUS ElectionTechGeopoliticsJake PaulDeepSeekWorldBig TechIPOPublic SalesClaudeCalifornia MidtermMoonshotOpenAI IPOAnthropic IPODarioAI ReleasesAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceHu JintaoAstraAI Safety
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$114k Liq.
409
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

30%

December 31

$102k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

5%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Finance·IPOs

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

38%

$ANTH

$110k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Politics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Tech·China

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

71%

December 31

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Politics·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Politics·Boxing

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

16%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$277 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

52%

November 2026

$260k Vol.
$57k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

76%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

All · who

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

No

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday?

All

Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday?

No

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

All · token launch

Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?

All

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Total commitments for the Ethos public sale on Sonar

Crypto·Public Sales

Total commitments for the Ethos public sale on Sonar

>2.5M

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

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