Chinese Pneumonia Outbreak Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.4m Vol.
$170k Liq.
🔥$71k today
569
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

15%

Dong Jun

$222k Vol.
$100k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$483k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

54%

Alibaba

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
New pandemic before 2028?

New pandemic before 2028?

18%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$767k Vol.
$58k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

63%

Alibaba

$109k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

90%

Alibaba

$613k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

7%

June 30, 2027

$98k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$36k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$636 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

13%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months