Emergency Predictions & Odds· 385 markets

W
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

11%

Central US (SPP)

$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

16%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$14k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

46%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$201 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

16%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
C
Counter-Strike: LFO UKRAINE vs Drama eSports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
$902 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

37%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k Vol.
$141k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

40%

STATE

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.3m Vol.
$184k Liq.
569
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

74%

Eternal Fire

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
E
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

2%

Yes

$766k Vol.
$61k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

20%

December 31

$54k Vol.
$31k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$777 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

97%

No change

$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$537k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

91%

No change

$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
S
Swiss National Bank decision in September?

100%

No Change

$17k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

10%

Yes

$987 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

53%

25 bps increase

$910 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months