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Public Opinion Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionSpaceXScienceIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpAirdropsElectionsMiddle EastIsraelRegulationElon MuskSam AltmanChinaCaliforniaPeace DealAINegotiation TopicsReferendumOpenAIAnthropicCultureIPOsBoxingSolanaUS ElectionNuclearCrypto PricesEthenaTechGeopoliticsJake PaulDeepSeekRecurringWorldBig TechHit PriceMonthlyMegaETHPre MarketIPOClaudeUraniumU.S. X IranCalifornia MidtermMoonshotEnrichOpenAI IPOFundAnthropic IPODarioAI ReleasesAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceHu JintaoAstraAI Safety
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$98k Liq.
408
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Tech·China

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

75%

December 31

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

18%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Finance·IPOs

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

43%

$ANTH

$110k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Politics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

4%

September 30

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Politics·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Politics·Boxing

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

17%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$271 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

52%

November 2026

$254k Vol.
$40k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

77%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$337 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

Tech·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$708k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Solana hit in September?

Crypto·Solana

What price will Solana hit in September?

84%

↑ 120

$800k Vol.
$260k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 9 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

Crypto·Crypto Prices

What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

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