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AllPoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionScienceIranWeatherUSBusinessFinanceTrumpAirdropsElectionsMiddle EastIsraelRegulationSam AltmanChinaCaliforniaPeace DealAINegotiation TopicsReferendumOpenAIAnthropicPandemicsIPOsBoxingUS ElectionNuclearTechGeopoliticsJake PaulDeepSeekRecurringWorldBig TechMegaETHPre MarketIPOClimate & ScienceClaudeUraniumU.S. X IranCalifornia MidtermMoonshotEnrichHantavirusOpenAI IPOFundAnthropic IPODarioAI ReleasesAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceHu JintaoAstraAI Safety
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$131k Liq.
407
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

8%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Tech·China

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

80%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Finance·IPOs

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

42%

$ANTH

$108k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Politics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Politics·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

75%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Politics·Boxing

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

9%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

52%

November 2026

$247k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

84%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

61%

Morgan Stanley

$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Weather·Pandemics

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.3m Vol.
$184k Liq.
569
Ends in 3 months
E
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Weather·Hantavirus

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$765k Vol.
$64k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$228k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$330 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
New pandemic in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

New pandemic in 2026?

6%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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