Proposals Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

70%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$331 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

44%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$130 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$115k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

28%

December 31, 2027

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$824 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

39%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$315 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

49%

Yes

$749 Vol.
$978 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

77%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

20%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

48%

↑ 2000

$639k Vol.
$80k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month