Proposals Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$224k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

71%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$329 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$126 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

41%

0

$129k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

28%

December 31, 2027

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Culture · Tech

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

15%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$892 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

44%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$851 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

52%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$273 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

41%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

48%

Yes

$754 Vol.
$997 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

73%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months