Capital Expenditures Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

S
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

62%

Yes

$73k Vol.
$339 Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

13%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

14%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$123 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Sports · Basketball

Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Cleveland State Vikings

$832 Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$853 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$666 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

54%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$88 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

23%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
C
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

35%

Yes

$408 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$81k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

40%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

53%

$1.20-$1.30T

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026

42%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026

65%

Stripe

$824 Vol.
$99 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

39%

$2.25T+

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month