Referenda Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$269k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

33%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$119 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

13%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$732 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

69%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

56%

Yes

$259 Vol.
$852 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

70%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in about 20 hours
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

19%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$1k Liq.
29
Ended
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

21%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

41%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$322 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

58%

<2.75%

$408 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$312 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

58%

Capitão Alberto Neto

$27k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

87%

39%+

$51k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months