Referenda Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

36%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$104 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

19%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$637 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$22k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$48k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

67%

VAT federal decree

$8k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

42%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$259 Vol.
$802 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

60%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

19%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$1k Liq.
29
Ended
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Vote Share?

99%

7-9%

$48k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ended
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?

100%

18-20%

$315k Vol.
$42k Liq.
21
Ended
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

22%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?

100%

Over

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

49%

2.75-3.25%

$408 Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month