Pollution Predictions & Odds· 154 markets

O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

82%

December 31, 2027

$268k Vol.
$31k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$303k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$67k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

6%

Yes

$162 Vol.
$922 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

6%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$476 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

91%

ND

$19k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

73%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$565 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$319 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$847k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$833 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$967k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

61%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

37%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

36%

Hodge Conjecture

$27k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year