Lab Predictions & Odds· 673 markets

A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$22k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$286k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

85%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

63%

Alibaba

$46k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$44k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

88%

Meta

$85k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

79%

Google

$112k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

50%

Company A

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

63%

Z.ai

$67k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days