Millennium Prize Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$279k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

60%

Hodge Conjecture

$165k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$221k Vol.
$25k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$112k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

33%

December 31, 2028

$375k Vol.
$63k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$62k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$2k Vol.
$378 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

40%

December 31, 2028

$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$507 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$730 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$80k today
207
Ends in 21 days
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

25%

December 31, 2026

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Prize in Literature

Other

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
W
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

María Corina Machado

$21.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
763
Ended
W
Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Kristof Milak (HUN)

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang

$879k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended