Pollution Predictions & Odds· 154 markets

O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

86%

December 31, 2027

$295k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$63k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$443 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$940 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$560 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

88%

ND

$19k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$354 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

73%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$664 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

57%

Hodge Conjecture

$172k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

44%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

40%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$26k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

43%

0

$131k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

24%

December 31, 2028

$390k Vol.
$84k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months