Openai Predictions & Odds· 826 markets

O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

80%

December 31, 2027

$282k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$439k Vol.
$17k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

61%

1.5T+

$357k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$100k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$111k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$273k Vol.
$29k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

13%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$369 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k Vol.
$679k Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

97%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

79%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

36%

November 30

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

23%

Clip-on device for clothing

$437k Vol.
$26k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months