Altman Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

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What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

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TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

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W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

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Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

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20
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D
Davis Cup: Daniel Altmaier vs. Dino Prizmic

Tennis · Sports

Davis Cup: Daniel Altmaier vs. Dino Prizmic

0%

Daniel Altmaier

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O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

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D
Davis Cup: Daniel Altmaier vs. Matej Dodig

Tennis · Sports

Davis Cup: Daniel Altmaier vs. Matej Dodig

45%

Daniel Altmaier

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W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

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S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

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Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

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Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

All · social media

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

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Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

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Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

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Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

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Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

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Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

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Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

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Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

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Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

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W
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

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W
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Yes

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2