Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 253 markets

B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

86%

55%+

$112k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

37%

September 21

$49k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$239k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

64%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$899 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$81k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

93%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

51%

Carel Aubriel Ngounoue

$0 Vol.
$284 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

52%

Eric Girard

$6k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
C
Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

No release by February 28

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026

$4.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
219
Ended