Llm Predictions & Odds· 162 markets

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

75%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$554 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

52%

1450+

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$4k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$974k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

33%

↑ 1530

$217k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

76%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

53%

1575

$131k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$170k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1560

$219k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

3%

1530

$389k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

All · google

Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What will Oracle say during their next earnings call?

AI 25+ times

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Docusign say during their next earnings call?

Customer 30+ times

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Adobe say during their next earnings call?

Generative AI / Gen AI

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
T
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended