Openai 预测与赔率· 263 个市场

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

52%

December 31, 2026

$399k 交易量
$7k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$39k 交易量
$921k 流动性
3
超过 3 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

69%

1.5T+

$332k 交易量
$116k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$107k 流动性
14
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$221k 交易量
$24k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$310k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$104k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$261k 交易量
$26k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

99%

November 30

$41k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

77%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

95%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m 交易量
$165k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$81k 交易量
$7k 流动性
4 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

76%

September 24

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
6 天后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

52%

November 30

$17k 交易量
$1k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$483 交易量
$778 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$461 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

94%

Anthropic

$373k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

96%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$18k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束