Openai Vs Elon Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$957 Vol.
$348 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

46%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

7%

OpenAI

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

81%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$534 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

47%

Anthropic

$348 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%

Anthropic

$84k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

22%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$268 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

43%

↓ $45

$767 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

58%

October 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
$652 Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$387k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

76%

Yes

$29k Vol.
$503 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
$630 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$280k Vol.
$31k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

16%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$462 Liq.
Ends in 3 days