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Xai Predictions & Odds· 284 markets

AllSportsFootballSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpRegulationElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIGrokAnthropicIPOsGoogleSpaceTechOutageCFB (All)Jerome PowellChatgptDeepSeekRecurringXAIBig TechIPOClaudeClaude 5Rewards 100, 4.5, 100 DeprecOutagesDebutNCAAFOpenAI IPOAnthropic IPOAI ReleasesAI RankingsAI RegulationSpaceXAIPlayer StatsAI Safety
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$971k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

Finance·Business

IPOs before 2027?

74%

Anthropic

$7.3m Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

76%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$325 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$296 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

59%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

75%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$98 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Finance·Elon Musk

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

55%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$241 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Finance·AI

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Finance·IPO

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

55%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance·IPO

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

65%

1.5T+

$335k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Finance·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Finance·IPO

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

24%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$178k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Tech·AI

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$397 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1440+

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Tech·xAI

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

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New Xai Predictions

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Grok (Web) Outage by...?Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?