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Xai Predictions & Odds· 285 markets

AllSportsFootballSpaceXScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpRegulationElon MuskSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIGrokAnthropicIPOsGoogleSpaceTechOutageCFB (All)Jerome PowellChatgptDeepSeekRecurringXAIBig TechIPOClaudeClaude 5Rewards 100, 4.5, 100 DeprecOutagesDebutNCAAFOpenAI IPOAnthropic IPOAI ReleasesAI RankingsAI RegulationSpaceXAIPlayer StatsAI Safety
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

Finance·Business

IPOs before 2027?

78%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.
$115k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

78%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$272 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 Vol.
$383 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

59%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$128 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Finance·Elon Musk

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

55%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$196 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Finance·AI

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Finance·IPO

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

44%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance·IPO

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Finance·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Finance·IPO

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

23%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$179k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Tech·AI

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$446 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1440+

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Tech·xAI

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

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Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Grok (Web) Outage by...?

New Xai Predictions

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Grok (Web) Outage by...?Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?