Open Source Intel Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

13%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$206 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$332 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

99%

November 30

$48k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK strike on Iran before July?

No

$334k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
W
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
I
Israel military action against Iraq before December?

No

$211k Vol.
$0 Liq.
112
Ended
W
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?

No

$214k Vol.
$0 Liq.
438
Ended
W
Will Netanyahu visit Egypt in 2024?

No

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

No

$6.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
276
Ended
W
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?

No

$188k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
W
What will Oracle say during their next earnings call?

Percent 20+

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will John Ternus say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th?

AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will Craig Federighi say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th?

Siri

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Tim Cook say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th?

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended