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Outage Predictions & Odds· 3959 markets

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#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$181 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$94 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

70%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Tech·Coding

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

33%

1-3 hours

$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$433 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

9%

September 30

$4k Vol.
$573 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Equities

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

28%

Up

$3k Vol.
$371 Liq.
Ended
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 Vol.
$102 Liq.
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·HOOD

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 21?

31%

Up

$0 Vol.
$524 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

Finance·AI

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

75%

December 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Meta

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 21?

62%

Up

$19 Vol.
$564 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Equities

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 21?

41%

Up

$0 Vol.
$531 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?

59%

Up

$275 Vol.
$559 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·OPEN

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$443 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 21?

Finance·Commodities

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$89 Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

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