Leadership Predictions & Odds· 194 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.3m Vol.
$686k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$264k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

96%

13+

$24k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
A
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

68%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$3k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

38%

Yes

$803 Vol.
$255 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$95k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

22%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

28%

December 31

$901 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$242k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

99%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

5%

Yes

$134k Vol.
$41k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?

12%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$223 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

13%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

6%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

Yes

$273k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$32k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months