Lebanon Predictions & Odds· 215 markets

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

97%

September 22

$541k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

October 31

$89 Vol.
$562 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$106k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

7%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

19%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$454 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

7%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$271k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Nuclear

$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

16%

Egypt

$62k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

26%

Germany

$661k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

10%

Lebanon

$804k Vol.
$300k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$378k Vol.
$51k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in 8 days
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

3%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

9%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$221 Liq.
3
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

12%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$9k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months