Conservative Predictions & Odds· 214 markets

C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

34%

13+

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

86%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$485k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
C
Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?

41–44%

$161k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Will the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

6-7%

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
L
Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Liberals lead by 5% or more

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Who will replace Boris Johnson?
$227k Vol.
$0 Liq.