Leadership Predictions & Odds· 194 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.2m Vol.
$699k Liq.
🔥$119k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

26%

13+

$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
A
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

61%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$1k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

39%

Yes

$742 Vol.
$297 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$95k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$54k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

33%

December 31

$811 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$248k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

85%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

5%

Yes

$134k Vol.
$42k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?

16%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$270 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

14%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

7%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

7%

Yes

$273k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

12%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$19k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months