Jerome Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

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Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

19%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$264 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$421k Vol.
$446k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$54k Vol.
$501k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

77%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

54%

Jérôme Gagnon

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$376 Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

90%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

74%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k Vol.
$125k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

42%

September 21

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

10%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$323 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
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Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

Tennis · Sports

Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

$370k Vol.
$2k Liq.
🔥$296k today
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

72%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months