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AllSportsPoliticsIranTrumpFederal ReserveElectionsFedIsraelCanadaPeace DealAINegotiation TopicsAnthropicCultureTennisNuclearFranceTechSocialist PartyGlobal ElectionsCourtsFed RatesGeopoliticsFrench ElectionEconomyStreamStreamerGamesMagazinePotyJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyWorldTime POTYClavicularTrump NetanyahuClaudeFed ChairUraniumU.S. X IranFrench ElectionsEnrichDebutFundInternational Election PropsSonnetClaude OpusAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksAI RegulationBest Of 2026Quebec Elections
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Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Tech·AI

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$475 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Economy·Fed Rates

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Politics·Fed

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

20%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics·Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$421k Vol.
$375k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Culture·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

75%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$526k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
N
Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

World·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

55%

Jérôme Gagnon

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Politics·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Politics·France

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

74%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k Vol.
$123k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

Culture·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

49%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$312 Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

Politics·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released on...?

44%

September 21

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Culture·Israel

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$363 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

Tennis · Sports

Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

$370k Vol.
$2k Liq.
🔥$363k today
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

10%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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