French Elections Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

74%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k Vol.
$125k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

38%

Marine Le Pen

$136.1m Vol.
$15.9m Liq.
🔥$133k today
769
Ends in 7 months
N
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

89%

Marine Le Pen

$188k Vol.
$577k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
F
French election called by...?

French election called by...?

8%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$10k Liq.
314
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$191 Liq.
2
Ends in 21 days
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$416k Vol.
$433k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
F
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

60%

Dominique de Villepin

$97k Vol.
$114k Liq.
22
Ends in 7 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?

5%

Knafo

$730 Vol.
$902 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

69%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
F
French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?

70%

SER

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
F
French Senate Election: Most Seats?

French Senate Election: Most Seats?

98%

Les Républicains

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
W
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

96%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
L
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?

42%

121-124

$17k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
Q
Quebec General Election: Turnout

Quebec General Election: Turnout

60%

66-70%

$1k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

42%

<50

$17k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

3%

Yes

$843 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
Q
Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

98%

Yes

$673 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

27%

8-10

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
S
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?

44%

59-61

$13k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 23 days